1/27/2023

Jan 27, 2023


1/27/2023
Corn and soybeans were quietly higher overnight and spent most of the day session lower in quiet fashion, as well. Corn found some fresh buyers for the March 2023 contract in the final hour of trade. Overall, price action was muted and daily ranges were relatively tight up to that point. Spreads strengthened in corn as we progressed through the week. Those with basis-fixed contracts that would like to extend their marketing window can roll from March to May futures with a net gain of 2 cents at the close today. We haven't had an opportunity like this since military action between Russia and Ukraine began in February of 2022. New crop corn contracts have not performed as well this week making it easy to determine that this week's moves have been money driven by speculators buying the front month. This is money that can leave the market at any moment!

Corn trade overall was strong this week but now we are back into some familiar territory. This is the third time in the past 30 days we have traded in the high 6’s, we have retreated quickly the past 2 times. With money loaded on the front end, this reads susceptible to profit taking to start next week.
corn-chart.png

Read More News

Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT. 
Jan 12, 2026
Well, the USDA report had a bit of a surprise today and not in a good way.  Not only did they increase the 2025 corn yield, from 186.0 to 186.5, they also increased Harvest Acres from 90 million to 91.3 million.  That raised the total corn production to 17.021 billion, up an additional 269 million bushels from their previous estimate.  U.S. Ending Stocks are now estimated at 2.227 bbu, vs. 2.209 in Dec.  Report trade guesses were at 1.97 bbu.
Nov 14, 2025
It was USDA report day today and overall, it was bearish for both corn and beans.  Corn Yield was only reduced by .7 bpa down to 186 bpa.  The market was expecting closer to 184 bpa.  Corn production is estimated at 16.752 billion vs 16.814 billion in September.  They raised exports 100 million, which is debatable, but possible.  Ending stocks on corn were estimated at 2.154 billion bushels, which is up 44 million from September and about 29 million more than the market expected.