1/25/2024

Jan 25, 2024


Soybeans were sharply lower today, finishing 10-17 cents in the red after a quick test and fail at the 20-day moving average. Surprisingly, corn held its ground and seemed unaffected by the negative trade in soybeans, finding a bid at 5 lower and improved to close Thursday at 1 cent lower. A combination of the fail at the 20-day, a poor showing on the weekly export sales report, and Brazil harvest were cited as the reason for today's weakness in soybeans. Corn sales totaled 955k tonnes which was near the middle of its expected range. Soybean sales missed low, reported at 561k tonnes. Trade had expected sales to total in the range of 700k-1.2 mln tonnes. Corn sales pace to date shows corn sales exceeding the USDA target by 46 million bushels, down from 58 million bushels the previous week. Soybean pace continues to increase its deficit, now 17 million bushels behind the USDA target versus 12 million bushels last week.

Some nice improvement in moisture conditions over the past month.

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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.