1/24/2024

Jan 24, 2024


Corn completes its fifth consecutive higher close to some solid gains from 4-6 cents higher. Soybeans traded from 5 cents lower to 5 cents higher throughout the day, ending Wednesday mixed. Spreads for both continue to tighten! It's some odd price action considering there's no rumors of any hot export business. It appears money is interested in buying our front contract months and the good news is there could be some teeth in this turnaround. March soybeans are back above the price levels we were trading on the day of the WASDE report and March corn is back above our report day close. The weekly ethanol report showed production down roughly 22% from the prior week to 818k barrels/day. The cold snap created an interesting scenario where some plants were not able to grind and process corn for ethanol production. Ethanol stocks grew slightly, from 25.7 to 25.8 million barrels.

Like soybeans a few days ago, corn has turned it around. We can assume that our WASDE report is now priced into the market and we can look to the upside for potential targets. The first test for the bulls (if we get there) will be the 20-day moving average which closed near 458’0 today.

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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.