1/24/2023

Jan 24, 2023


1/24/2023
Corn took back Monday's losses, completing a full recovery for a "turnaround Tuesday."  We started out higher to begin overnight trade and held gains into the coffee break.  After we re-opened at 8:30, corn was able to maintain momentum but soybeans could not hold and slipped to negative trade by the mid-day point.  We've been patiently waiting for some 8 a.m. corn export announcements and the USDA finally came through this morning with 130,000 tonnes of corn for delivery to unknown during the 2022/23 marketing year.  Bids on the PNW have perked up slightly but values aren't anything special.  This is a good start but we need more!  Corn failed to break out of its 3-month range following our big January report day which means the inevitable break out will be even bigger.

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Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off. 
Aug 12, 2025
The USDA report today didn't treat the corn market very well.  Both corn acres and yield were higher the result has corn carryout over 2.1 billion bushels.  Corn yield was pegged at 188.8 bpa vs an estimate of 184.29 bpa.  How high is 188.8?  Well…the previous record was 179.3.  Planted corn acres were put at 97.3 million.  Total corn production is estimated at 16.742 billion bushels, which is 763 million more than the report estimates.
May 12, 2025
News broke Sunday that the USA and China have agreed to ease tensions and lower tariffs.  The US is lowering tariffs on Chinese goods from 145% to 30%.  China is lowering their import tariffs from 125% to 10%.  Talks will resume in the coming weeks.  This news had stocks, grains and oil higher overnight. Then of course we had a USDA grain report come out at 11:00 this morning.  That was also a bit friendly.