1/20/2021

Jan 20, 2021


1/20/2021
Another day of corrective lower action and profit taking.  Overnight, corn finally filled the gap created a week ago and beans were deep in the red going into the morning break.  Prices snapped back off of their lows at the open with corn gaining back 6 cents and beans gaining back 10 cents within the first 10 minutes of trade.  The underlying support to these markets is impressive as prices improved throughout the day.  Our market correction was validated as we had some export business get stirred up today.  China is now interested in US corn through July and a bean cargo was sold on the PNW.  Some have raised their bean production estimates for Brazil with one firm increasing total production by 1.36 bln bu. (about .25 bu/ac).  There has been an on-going trucker strike in Argentina and it is reported that Brazilian truckers are set to strike Feb 1.  A potential strike during the ramp up of Brazil bean harvest would have an interesting effect on the market and would likely be friendly for US exports.  It is estimated that 70% of old crop corn and 92% of old crop beans in the US are sold.  Domestically, beans are starting to move in odd directions across the country that are rarely seen.  We are comfortable keeping the bin door shut on home run beans, if you have any.  For the time being, our futures targets remain in place. 
 

Read More News

Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time. 
Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off.