1/17/2024

Jan 17, 2024


There was a macro effect on the market today that saw almost all commodities and stocks stuck in lower trade.  Corn showed some life this morning, trading to 5 higher but was quickly sold off and finished 1-2 lower on the day.  Soybeans also briefly traded higher but were largely weak after the mid-day point, closing the day near our fresh lows set on report day.  Until we can move a little further into 2024, markets will continue to grind and chop.  Corn's issue is not a lack of demand or use, exports are forecasted to be roughly 450 million bushels more than the 2022/23 marketing year.  Corn's issue is a very good crop has swelled its stocks/use ratio nearly 5%, up to 14.8%, for the 2023/24 marketing year.  The soybean stock/use ratio is basically unchanged from last year, it's the acres increase in Brazil that is the black cloud over the market.  They are now on the door step of a large harvest and the market will see a fresh, readily available supply of soybeans over the next couple of months.

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Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
Aug 30, 2024
Corn picks up 10 cents and soybeans improve just over 25 cents on the week to go into the holiday weekend on a positive note.  Soybean export sales have picked up the pace in a big way.  At the end of last week, sales...