1/17/2023

Jan 17, 2023


1/17/2023
Corn and soybeans start the week off on a strong note. Both recovered from overnight lows to challenge the nearby highs on the charts from late December. We had a good shot of fresh news today. To start us off, the USDA confirmed sales of 150,000 tonnes of corn for delivery to Colombia and 119,000 tonnes of soybeans for delivery to unknown, both during the 2022/23 marketing year. We then received our weekly export inspections report where both corn and soybeans exceeded trade expectations with 774k tonnes of corn and 2.075 mln tonnes of soybeans shipped last week. U.S. corn export shipments to date are short of the pace needed to meet the USDA target by 156 million bushels versus 150 million short last week. Soybean shipments are 40 million bushels behind the pace versus 46 million bushels last week. The NOPA Crush report for December was released today, as well, with slightly negative numbers. Bushels crushed for the month was figured at 175.505 million bushels, below the trade guess of 182.907 mln bu. Soy oil stocks were reported at 1.791 bln lbs, above the trade guess of 1.725 bln.

Key reversal higher today on the corn and soybean charts. Corn is looking like it has finally broken out of its wedge to the high side. If money follows-through, $6.75-6.80 cash corn could be possible in the near future. Have your sell-orders working!
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Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off. 
Aug 12, 2025
The USDA report today didn't treat the corn market very well.  Both corn acres and yield were higher the result has corn carryout over 2.1 billion bushels.  Corn yield was pegged at 188.8 bpa vs an estimate of 184.29 bpa.  How high is 188.8?  Well…the previous record was 179.3.  Planted corn acres were put at 97.3 million.  Total corn production is estimated at 16.742 billion bushels, which is 763 million more than the report estimates.
May 12, 2025
News broke Sunday that the USA and China have agreed to ease tensions and lower tariffs.  The US is lowering tariffs on Chinese goods from 145% to 30%.  China is lowering their import tariffs from 125% to 10%.  Talks will resume in the coming weeks.  This news had stocks, grains and oil higher overnight. Then of course we had a USDA grain report come out at 11:00 this morning.  That was also a bit friendly.