1/17/2023

Jan 17, 2023


1/17/2023
Corn and soybeans start the week off on a strong note. Both recovered from overnight lows to challenge the nearby highs on the charts from late December. We had a good shot of fresh news today. To start us off, the USDA confirmed sales of 150,000 tonnes of corn for delivery to Colombia and 119,000 tonnes of soybeans for delivery to unknown, both during the 2022/23 marketing year. We then received our weekly export inspections report where both corn and soybeans exceeded trade expectations with 774k tonnes of corn and 2.075 mln tonnes of soybeans shipped last week. U.S. corn export shipments to date are short of the pace needed to meet the USDA target by 156 million bushels versus 150 million short last week. Soybean shipments are 40 million bushels behind the pace versus 46 million bushels last week. The NOPA Crush report for December was released today, as well, with slightly negative numbers. Bushels crushed for the month was figured at 175.505 million bushels, below the trade guess of 182.907 mln bu. Soy oil stocks were reported at 1.791 bln lbs, above the trade guess of 1.725 bln.

Key reversal higher today on the corn and soybean charts. Corn is looking like it has finally broken out of its wedge to the high side. If money follows-through, $6.75-6.80 cash corn could be possible in the near future. Have your sell-orders working!
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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.