1/14/2021

Jan 14, 2021


1/14/2021
Two-sided trade overnight and a strongly higher day session defined our trading day. The corn bulls were fed early this morning with the weekly export sales report release at 7:30am. Corn sales of 56.5 mln bu. was 20% above the top trade estimate. Also, the International Grain Council reduced their world corn production estimate by 510 mln bu. The combination of this news had the fund and spec money pushing us back towards contract highs. US corn still remains the cheapest globally despite a month long rally. Overnight, old crop beans were on either side of unchanged while new crop beans charged ahead trading 10 higher going into the morning break, mostly on speculation of Chinese buying interest for the 2021 crop. Weekly exports sales of 33.3 mln bu. of beans were also well above the top estimates putting the money on the long side of trade today. The bean board rebounded from yesterday's profit taking with cash beans finishing 24 cents higher on the day. We now know our domestic bean inventory and we are trading uncertainty in S. America. Rain is falling in Brazil with more forecasted. It is time to be extra cautious as corn and beans are extremely overbought and trade continues to ignore bearish signals. The dollar index firming will make exports less attractive, as well.

Read More News

Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT. 
Jan 12, 2026
Well, the USDA report had a bit of a surprise today and not in a good way.  Not only did they increase the 2025 corn yield, from 186.0 to 186.5, they also increased Harvest Acres from 90 million to 91.3 million.  That raised the total corn production to 17.021 billion, up an additional 269 million bushels from their previous estimate.  U.S. Ending Stocks are now estimated at 2.227 bbu, vs. 2.209 in Dec.  Report trade guesses were at 1.97 bbu.
Nov 14, 2025
It was USDA report day today and overall, it was bearish for both corn and beans.  Corn Yield was only reduced by .7 bpa down to 186 bpa.  The market was expecting closer to 184 bpa.  Corn production is estimated at 16.752 billion vs 16.814 billion in September.  They raised exports 100 million, which is debatable, but possible.  Ending stocks on corn were estimated at 2.154 billion bushels, which is up 44 million from September and about 29 million more than the market expected.