1/12/2022

Jan 12, 2022


1/12/2022
Today was a huge report day.  Look below for a summary of the USDA's huge data dump.  We did have two 8am sale announcements this morning that included 132,000 tonnes of soybeans to China for 2022/23 and 100,00 tonnes of corn to unknown for 2021/22.

Nothing changed domestically to light a fire under the market either direction.  USDA found a few more corn acres.  Added ethanol use was washed out by trimming exports.  Ending stocks grew.

corn.jpg
Soybean acres trimmed minimally, 51.4 average yield is second largest all-time.  Domestic soy supply continues to grow.   Really feels like trade is all on one side of the fence and just want to ignore anything negative.
beans.jpgCorn and soybean stocks all increased from one year ago.  Wheat stocks down sharply.
stocks.jpgSouth American production is where the market found support.  The USDA coming in below 140.0 for Brazil soy production was a surprise.
SA-rain.jpg

Read More News

Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off. 
Aug 12, 2025
The USDA report today didn't treat the corn market very well.  Both corn acres and yield were higher the result has corn carryout over 2.1 billion bushels.  Corn yield was pegged at 188.8 bpa vs an estimate of 184.29 bpa.  How high is 188.8?  Well…the previous record was 179.3.  Planted corn acres were put at 97.3 million.  Total corn production is estimated at 16.742 billion bushels, which is 763 million more than the report estimates.
May 12, 2025
News broke Sunday that the USA and China have agreed to ease tensions and lower tariffs.  The US is lowering tariffs on Chinese goods from 145% to 30%.  China is lowering their import tariffs from 125% to 10%.  Talks will resume in the coming weeks.  This news had stocks, grains and oil higher overnight. Then of course we had a USDA grain report come out at 11:00 this morning.  That was also a bit friendly.