Grain > Commentary > 1-12-2022

1/12/2022

Jan 12, 2022

1/12/2022
Today was a huge report day.  Look below for a summary of the USDA's huge data dump.  We did have two 8am sale announcements this morning that included 132,000 tonnes of soybeans to China for 2022/23 and 100,00 tonnes of corn to unknown for 2021/22.

Nothing changed domestically to light a fire under the market either direction.  USDA found a few more corn acres.  Added ethanol use was washed out by trimming exports.  Ending stocks grew.

corn.jpg
Soybean acres trimmed minimally, 51.4 average yield is second largest all-time.  Domestic soy supply continues to grow.   Really feels like trade is all on one side of the fence and just want to ignore anything negative.
beans.jpgCorn and soybean stocks all increased from one year ago.  Wheat stocks down sharply.
stocks.jpgSouth American production is where the market found support.  The USDA coming in below 140.0 for Brazil soy production was a surprise.
SA-rain.jpg

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10/9/2026
Oct 09, 2026
USDA Report Update:
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9/11/2026
Sep 11, 2026
It is USDA report day and it seemed like one of the most important reports we have had in a while.  The USDA placed corn yield at 178.5 bpa vs an average guess of 178.2.  They were in line with expectations and admitting we have an issue brewing.  This likely won’t be our lowest yield we see, but it at least drew a line in the sand for a starting point. 
7/10/2026
Jul 10, 2026
USDA report day was slightly friendly to the grain markets.
Corn:
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