1/10/2022

Jan 10, 2022


1/10/2022
Sometimes the market becomes too "obvious."  Opening calls for Sunday night were higher but a lower open spurred liquidation.  There was broad macro sell-off today including not only ag commodities but oil, gold, stocks and indexes, as well.  The DOW traded around 600 lower and the NASDAQ about 400 lower at one time today.  We did have an 8am sale announcement this morning with the USDA confirming the sale of 132,000 tonnes of corn for delivery to Mexico, with 77k tonnes in the 2021/22 marketing year and 55k tonnes in the 2022/23 marketing year.  Weekly export inspections were mid-range for corn with 1.023 million tonnes inspected for shipment, soybean inspections were below the minimum estimate with 905k tonnes inspected.  As of now, corn shipment pace falls short of the USDA target by 150 million bushels, improving from the 175 million bushels mark two weeks ago.  Soybean shipments exceed the pace needed to hit the USDA target by 10 million bushels, down from 21 million bushels two weeks ago and 18 million bushels last week.  With last year's South American weather story, many experts expected Brazil to be importing corn at this point but they continue to ship corn out at a steady pace.  Big report day on Wednesday that includes the monthly WASDE and quarterly grain stocks reports.  Always recommend having sell orders working on report days. 

Read More News

Jan 12, 2026
Well, the USDA report had a bit of a surprise today and not in a good way.  Not only did they increase the 2025 corn yield, from 186.0 to 186.5, they also increased Harvest Acres from 90 million to 91.3 million.  That raised the total corn production to 17.021 billion, up an additional 269 million bushels from their previous estimate.  U.S. Ending Stocks are now estimated at 2.227 bbu, vs. 2.209 in Dec.  Report trade guesses were at 1.97 bbu.
Nov 14, 2025
It was USDA report day today and overall, it was bearish for both corn and beans.  Corn Yield was only reduced by .7 bpa down to 186 bpa.  The market was expecting closer to 184 bpa.  Corn production is estimated at 16.752 billion vs 16.814 billion in September.  They raised exports 100 million, which is debatable, but possible.  Ending stocks on corn were estimated at 2.154 billion bushels, which is up 44 million from September and about 29 million more than the market expected. 
Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu.